WEFI

Sean Higgins (Northwestern University)

Title: “Why Are Small Business Slow to Adopt Profitable Opportunities”

Why do small firms often fail to adopt new profitable opportunities, even in the absence of informational frictions, fixed costs, or misaligned incentives? We explore three potential mechanisms: present bias, memory, and trust in other firms. In partnership with a financial technology (FinTech) company in Mexico, we randomly offer firms that are already users of the payment technology the opportunity to be charged a lower merchant fee for each payment they receive from customers. The median value of the fee reduction is 3% of profits. We randomly vary the size of the fee reduction, whether the firms face a deadline to accept the offer, whether they receive a reminder, and whether we tell them in advance that they will receive a reminder. While deadlines do not affect take-up, reminders increase take-up of the lower fee by 18%, and anticipated reminders by an additional 7%. The results point to limited memory in firms, but not present bias. Additional survey data suggests trust as the mechanism behind the significant additional effect of the anticipated reminder. Upon receiving an anticipated reminder from the FinTech company, firms value the offer more and accept it even if they generally distrust advertised offers.

Presenter: Sean Higgins (Northwestern University)

Coauthors: Paul Gertler (University of California, Berkeley), Ulrike Malmendier (University of California, Berkeley) and Waldo Ojeda (Baruch College)

Discussant: Michael Ewens (Columbia University)

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Laurent Frésard (Università della Svizzera italiana, Lugano)

Title: “Knowledge Cycles and Corporate Investment”

We examine how firms invest along their knowledge cycles. If investment is only a means to accumulate capital, cycles are irrelevant for the investment-value relation, with the two declining together over cycles. But we argue that investment also creates knowledge—serendipitously—disconnecting it from value. Investment is high early and late in the cycle, its relation with value spikes before new cycles start and declines thereafter. We uncover this specific pattern in the data, identifying new cycles using sharp changes in patents’ citations to prior technologies. Cycles’ length has tripled in recent years, coinciding with concurrent changes in the investment-value relation.

Presenter: Laurent Frésard (Università della Svizzera italiana, Lugano)

Coauthors: Maria Cecilia Bustamante (University of Maryland) and Julien Cujean (University of Bern)

Discussant: Yufeng Wu (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign)

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Joan Farre-Mensa (University of Illinois Chicago)

Title: “Do Startup Patent Acquisitions Affect Inventor Productivity?”

We show that the acquisition of a startup inventor’s first patent has a negative effect on the subsequent productivity of the patent’s inventor, leading to 6.7 fewer patents being granted to the inventor over the following five years. This effect is not due to the inventors of acquired patents being able to focus on high-quality patents—in fact, the opposite appears to be the case. Our novel identification strategy is motivated by two new findings: Incumbent firms are more likely to acquire the patents of startups that patent examiners ask them to cite, and examiners are more likely to cite patents that they have reviewed in the past. When combined with the quasi-random assignment of patent applications to examiners, these two findings give rise to quasi-random linkages between startups and potential acquirers that help identify the causal effect of patent acquisitions on inventor productivity.

Presenter: Joan Farre-Mensa (University of Illinois Chicago)

Coauthors: Zack Liu (University of Houston) and Jordan Nickerson (University of Washington)

Discussant: Jan Bena (The University of British Columbia)

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Amir Sariri (Purdue University)

Title: “Does Mentorship Drive Startup Performance?”

Mentorship is a staple component of private sector accelerators designed to maximize equity value and also of public sector initiatives created to support economic development. This paper examines whether, how, and when mentorship enhances startup performance. We show that mentorship drives startup performance. To address endogeneity concerns due to mentor selection, we exploit randomness in the availability of mentors to spend time with startups due to personal scheduling conflicts. We then show that one channel through which mentorship operates is founders learning how to set priorities for their companies. We conduct this empirical study using a novel panel of 289 high-technology startups participating in a global eight-month program for seed-stage companies.

Presenter: Amir Sariri (Purdue University)

Coauthors: Ajay Agrawal (University of Toronto) and Avi Goldfarb (University of Toronto)

Discussant: Melanie Wallskog (Duke University)

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Sophie Calder-Wang (The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania)

Title: “Diversity and Performance in Entrepreneurial Teams”

We study the role of diversity and performance in the entrepreneurial teams. We exploit a unique dataset of MBA students who participated in a required course to propose and start a real microbusiness that allows us to examine horizontal diversity (i.e., within the team) as well as vertical diversity (i.e., team to faculty advisor) and their effect on performance. The design of the course allows for identification of the causal implications of horizontal and vertical diversity. The course was run in multiple cohorts in otherwise identical formats except for the team formation mechanism used. In several cohorts, students were allowed to choose their teams from among students in their section (roughly 90 students). In other cohorts, students were randomly assigned to teams based upon a computer algorithm. In the cohorts that were allowed to choose, we find strong selection based upon shared attributes. Among the randomly-assigned teams, greater diversity along the intersection of gender and race/ethnicity significantly reduced performance. However, the negative effect of this diversity is alleviated in cohorts in which teams are endogenously formed. Finally, we find that teams with more female members perform substantially better when their faculty section leader was also female. Because the gender of the faculty section leader is exogenous to the gender make-up of the entrepreneurial team, the positive performance effects can be interpreted as causal. These findings suggest that diversity policies should take adequate consideration of the multiple dimensions of diversity.

Presenter: Sophie Calder-Wang (The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania)

Coauthors: Kevin Huang (University of California, Los Angeles) and Paul A. Gompers (Harvard Business School)

Discussant: Shan Aman-Rana (University of Virginia)

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Simone Lenzu (New York University)

Title: “Propagation and Amplification of Local Productivity Spillovers”

This paper shows that local productivity spillovers propagate throughout the economy through the plant-level networks of multi-region firms. Using confidential Census plant-level data, we show that large manufacturing plant openings not only raise the productivity of local plants but also of distant plants hundreds of miles away, which belong to multi-region firms that are exposed to the local productivity spillover through one of their plants. To quantify the significance of plant-level networks for the propagation and amplification of local productivity shocks, we develop and estimate a quantitative spatial model in which plants of multi-region firms are linked through shared knowledge. Our model features heterogeneous regions, which interact through goods trade and labor markets, as well as within-location, across-plant heterogeneity in productivity, wages, and employment. Counterfactual exercises show that while knowledge sharing through plant-level networks amplifies the aggregate effects of local productivity shocks, it widens economic disparities between individual workers and regions in the economy.

Presenter: Simone Lenzu (New York University)

Coauthors: Xavier Giroud (Columbia Business School), Quinn Maingi (New York University) and Holger Mueller (New York University)

Discussant: Chris Parsons (University of Southern California)

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Sabrina T. Howell (New York University)

Title: “Opening up Military Innovation”

How should governments procure innovation? One choice facing policymakers is whether to tightly specify the innovations they seek (a “Conventional” approach) or to allow firms to suggest ideas (an “Open” approach). We study a natural experiment in the U.S. Air Force Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program where Open and Conventional competitions were held simultaneously. We compare them using within-competition regression discontinuity designs on administrative data. Open awards increase desired outcomes; they lead to more adoption of new technologies, measured by (non-SBIR) defense contracts, and more commercial innovation, measured by VC funding and patenting. In contrast, Conventional awards have no effects on these outcomes but do create lock-in through increasing the chances of winning a future SBIR award. The Open program succeeded in its aim of attracting new types of firms, but we demonstrate that openness has a differential impact beyond inducing selection: (i) comparing specific and non-specific Conventional topics; (ii) examining firms that applied to both Open and Conventional programs; and (iii) comparing Open with two other reform programs that attracted similar types of firms to Open but used specific topics. Overall, the results point to benefits from open approaches to innovation procurement.

Presenter: Sabrina T. Howell (New York University)

Coauthors: John Van Reenen (The London School of Economics and Political Science), Jason Rathje (U.S. Air Force) and Jun Wong (University of Chicago)

Discussant: Daniel Gross (Duke University)

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Maria P. Roche (Harvard Business School)

Title: “Open Sourcing and Startup Funding: Evidence from GitHub”

We study the participation of nascent firms in open source communities and its implications forattracting funding. To do so, we exploit rich data on 160,065 US startups linking information fromCrunchbase to firms’ GitHub accounts. Estimating a within-startup model saturated with fixedeffects, we show that startups accelerate their activities on the platform as they approach their firstfinancing round. The intensity of their involvement on GitHub declines in the twelve months after.Startups intensify those activities that rely on external technology sources above and beyond thetechnologies they themselves control. Exploiting a shock that reduced the relative cost of internalcollaborations, we provide evidence that startups’ decision to integrate external sources of knowledgein their production function hinges on the relative cost vis-`a-vis internal collaboration. Applyingmachine learning to classify GitHub projects, we further unveil that the most prevalent among theseexternal activities are related to software development, data analytics, and integration. Our resultsindicate that VCs and renowned investors are the most responsive to these activities.

Presenter: Maria P. Roche (Harvard Business School)

Coauthors: Annamaria Conti (IE Business School) and Christian Peukert (HEC Lausanne)

Discussant: David Hsu (The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania)

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Jorge Guzman (Columbia University)

Title: “Entrepreneurial Migration”

We use cross-state business registrations to track the geographic movement of startups with high growth potential. In their first five years, 6.6% percent of these startups move across state borders. Though startup births are concentrated geographically, hubs like Silicon Valley and Boston on net lose startups to entrepreneurial migration. A revealed preference approach nonparametrically identifies the average utility of cities to migrant founders. University towns and startup hubs have low relative utility. This pattern is due neither to vertical sorting nor industrial specialization. The higher-quality startups move to lower-tax, business-friendly cities, while less growth-oriented startups move to low-tax, high-amenity cities.

Presenter: Jorge Guzman (Columbia University)

Coauthors: Kevin Bryan (University of Toronto)

Discussant: Cameron LaPoint (Yale School of Management)

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Emmanuel Yimfor (University of Michigan)

Title: “Startup Experience, Venture Capital Experience, and First-time Venture Fund Performance”

We study the sources of cross-sectional variation in the performance of first-time venture capital (VC) fund partners. We find that, relative to partners with startup experience, partners with VC experience are at least 20 percent more likely to invest in successful deals or start a follow-on fund. We investigate three potential mechanisms for this finding. Our tests do not support the hypotheses that partners with VC experience make riskier investments or have better deal-selection skills. Consistent with a network effect, we show that the higher success rate for partners with VC experience primarily comes from joining successful syndicates, not from leading successful deals. Our results suggest that a background in venture capital is an important channel for the success of first-time venture funds.

Presenter: Emmanuel Yimfor (University of Michigan)

Coauthors: David Brophy (University of Michigan) and Shane Miller (University of Michigan)

Discussant: Sophie Calder-Wang (The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania)

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